Satoshi Signals

Trade calls from Satoshi's desk, posted before the outcome — open calls, closed trades, winners and losers kept on the board.

18 open calls crypto marks live in your browser · other marks hourly snapshot — marks as of Nov 13 · 1:02 AM ET
Open calls
18
verified positions shown below
Closed trades
289
168 winners · 117 losers · 4 flat
Win rate
58.1%
across verified closed trades
Total realized P&L
−$1,765.42
verified closes, as of Nov 13, 2026

Open calls

Unrealized+$113.12Weighted+2.63%Unweighted avg+4.34%18 verified open positions · crypto marks live in your browser · other marks hourly snapshot — marks as of Nov 13 · 1:02 AM ET

Open calls now read from the YottaMatrix Brain (production desk) — 18 verified positions shown; 13 unverified rows excluded.

01

CRYPTO

Unrealized+$190.47Weighted+4.15%Unweighted avg+5.90%10  trades
ETHSHORT
WINNING
+6.99%
Entry
2,053.55
Target
1,785
Stop
2,160
Leverage  5.0xArena seat: bittensor
Position size
$468
Margin
$94
UPnL
+$32.73
Ret. on margin
+35.0%
Opened  Nov 11, 2026Mark  1,909.93 SNAPSHOT
SOLLONG
LOSING
−3.65%
Entry
81.4463
Target
92.36
Stop
77.0582
Leverage  3.0xArena seat: chronos
Position size
$453
Margin
$151
UPnL
−$16.57
Ret. on margin
−11.0%
Opened  Nov 12, 2026Mark  78.47 SNAPSHOT
SOLSHORT
WINNING
+12.94%
Entry
90.132
Target
77.9
Stop
95
Leverage  3.0xArena seat: claude
Position size
$454
Margin
$151
UPnL
+$58.75
Ret. on margin
+38.8%
Opened  Nov 6, 2026Mark  78.47 SNAPSHOT
ETHSHORT
WINNING
+6.89%
Entry
2,053.55
Target
1,775
Stop
2,165
Leverage  5.0xArena seat: fable
Position size
$450
Margin
$90
UPnL
+$31.00
Ret. on margin
+34.5%
Opened  Nov 11, 2026Mark  1,911.98 SNAPSHOT
BTCSHORT
WINNING
+6.10%
Entry
72,533.5
Target
66,300
Stop
75,000
Leverage  5.0xArena seat: gemini
Position size
$703
Margin
$141
UPnL
+$42.89
Ret. on margin
+30.5%
Opened  Nov 12, 2026Mark  68,109.41 SNAPSHOT
SOLSHORT
WINNING
+6.48%
Entry
83.9832
Target
72.5216
Stop
88.5912
Leverage  3.0xArena seat: kronos
Position size
$449
Margin
$150
UPnL
+$29.07
Ret. on margin
+19.4%
Opened  Nov 11, 2026Mark  78.54 SNAPSHOT
BTCSHORT
WINNING
+12.62%
Entry
77,976.3
Target
—
Stop
81,971
Leverage  —New Method swing
Position size
$279
Margin
—
UPnL
+$7.25
Ret. on margin
—
Opened  Oct 30, 2026Mark  68,137.88 SNAPSHOT
SOLSHORT
WINNING
+11.97%
Entry
89.2507
Target
—
Stop
103.85
Leverage  —New Method swing
Position size
$153
Margin
—
UPnL
−$2.21
Ret. on margin
—
Opened  Nov 6, 2026Mark  78.57 SNAPSHOT
BVNRYLONG
LOSING
−3.90%
Entry
12.2861
Target
14.4786
Stop
11.812
Leverage  1.0xPandemic thesis
Position size
$1,051
Margin
$1,051
UPnL
−$0.52
Ret. on margin
−0.0%
Opened  Oct 26, 2026Mark  11.807 HOURLY SNAPSHOT
PYTHSHORT
WINNING
+2.52%
Entry
0.066386
Target
0.058538
Stop
0.071618
Leverage  —Short lab
Position size
$320
Margin
—
UPnL
+$8.08
Ret. on margin
—
Opened  Nov 6, 2026Mark  0.06471 SNAPSHOT
02

EQUITIES

Unrealized+$7.64Weighted+0.97%Unweighted avg+0.94%5  trades
KWEBLONG
WINNING
—
Entry
0.3933
Target
1.3766
Stop
0
Leverage  1.0xChina bear A
Position size
$75
Margin
$75
UPnL
+$56.11
Ret. on margin
+74.8%
Opened  Oct 22, 2026Mark  — HOURLY SNAPSHOT
ASHRLONG
WINNING
—
Entry
0.2149
Target
0.7522
Stop
0
Leverage  1.0xChina bear B
Position size
$75
Margin
$75
UPnL
+$19.37
Ret. on margin
+25.8%
Opened  Oct 22, 2026Mark  — HOURLY SNAPSHOT
MUFGLONG
LOSING
—
Entry
21.8259
Target
24.5
Stop
20.9
Leverage  5.0xJapan debt C
Position size
$1,179
Margin
$236
UPnL
−$46.55
Ret. on margin
−19.7%
Opened  Oct 21, 2026Mark  21.75 HOURLY SNAPSHOT
MUFGLONG
LOSING
—
Entry
21.3
Target
24.5
Stop
20.9
Leverage  5.0xJapan debt C
Position size
$1,331
Margin
$266
UPnL
−$21.01
Ret. on margin
−7.9%
Opened  Oct 23, 2026Mark  21.75 HOURLY SNAPSHOT
PGLONG
WINNING
+1.07%
Entry
166.253
Target
—
Stop
152.953
Leverage  1.0xPolitician copy (shadow-only)
Position size
$308
Margin
$308
UPnL
−$0.28
Ret. on margin
−0.1%
Opened  Nov 6, 2026Mark  168.03 HOURLY SNAPSHOT
03

BONDS

Unrealized−$28.83Weighted+1.61%Unweighted avg+1.62%2  trades
TLTSHORT
WINNING
+0.69%
Entry
80.2748
Target
72.2
Stop
83.4
Leverage  5.0xJapan debt C
Position size
$1,284
Margin
$257
UPnL
−$26.64
Ret. on margin
−10.4%
Opened  Oct 21, 2026Mark  79.72 HOURLY SNAPSHOT
TLTSHORT
WINNING
+2.54%
Entry
81.8
Target
72.2
Stop
83.4
Leverage  5.0xJapan debt C
Position size
$1,278
Margin
$256
UPnL
−$2.19
Ret. on margin
−0.9%
Opened  Oct 22, 2026Mark  79.72 HOURLY SNAPSHOT
04

FX

Unrealized−$56.16Weighted—Unweighted avg—1  trade
FXYLONG
LOSING
—
Entry
0.084
Target
0.294
Stop
0
Leverage  1.0xJapan debt C
Position size
$75
Margin
$75
UPnL
−$56.16
Ret. on margin
−74.9%
Opened  Oct 21, 2026Mark  — HOURLY SNAPSHOT

TEAM OPEN vs TEAM FRONTIER

Two model sleeves, head to head — same desk, same rules: seats propose, deliberate, majority decides.

Sleeve · Open models

Team Open

RosterDeepSeek v4.1 Flash · GLM 5.3 · MiMo v2.6 Pro · Kimi K3 · DeepSeek v4 Pro · Qwen 3.8 · Step 5 · Nemotron 3 Ultra · MiniMax M3 · Inkling · Muse Spark Open · Kimi K3.1 Pro — seats propose, deliberate, majority decides

Record2 closed · 0 wins – 2 losses · net −$65.24 · no open positions
Closed trades
BTCSHORT
−$38.97
Closed Nov 4, 2026Team Open
BTCLONG
−$26.27
Closed Nov 5, 2026Team Open
Sleeve · Frontier models

Team Frontier

RosterGPT-6.1 Sol · Claude Opus 5.5 · Claude Fable 5.1 · Gemini 4 Argon · Grok 4.7 · Muse Spark 1.3 — propose, deliberate, majority decides

RecordNo trades recorded yet

The frontier book is stood up in the desk but has no opens or closes in the brain yet; its record will fill in here as trades land.

Trades
No trades yet
No opens · No closes recorded

LEADERBOARDS

Every sleeve and arena seat ranked on verified closes from the YottaMatrix Brain.

Area 01

Arena

The model seats
59 closes23W–36L39.0% win rate
Net P&L−$497.82
Area 02

Desk Sleeves

Rule-based
225 closes140W–81L62.2% win rate
Net P&L−$1,543.49

Sleeve Leaderboard

Top 10 by net P&L · 284 verified closes, as of Nov 11, 2026

#SleeveClosesW–LWin %Net P&L
1China bear C53–260.0%+$565.97
2Arena seat: kronos21–150.0%+$59.72
3Short lab1510–566.7%+$58.52
4Scalper mirror164118–4272.0%+$47.82
5Arena seat: museopen22–0100%+$42.75
6Arena seat: glm22–0100%+$41.28
7Arena seat: claude53–260.0%+$29.73
8Asymmetric thesis21–150.0%+$29.54
9Leader copy32–166.7%+$11.39
10Arena seat: step11–0100%+$3.92

Bottom of the boardMeme rotation −$747.93 (0–5) · Robinhood-chain −$382.54 (0–4) · Channel calls −$376.37 (3–2) — 39 sleeves have verified closes in total.

Arena Seats

The model race · ranked by net P&L

#SeatClosesW–LWin %Net P&L
1kronos21–150.0%+$59.72
2museopen22–0100%+$42.75
3glm22–0100%+$41.28
4claude53–260.0%+$29.73
5step11–0100%+$3.92
6muse11–0100%+$3.73
7mimo11–0100%+$3.27
8gpt31–233.3%−$5.23
9timesfm10–10%−$12.46
10chronos10–10%−$12.46
11fable21–150.0%−$20.98
12timeseries10–10%−$25.19
13minimax10–10%−$26.38
14deepseek21–150.0%−$27.40
15consensus42–250.0%−$28.66
16finance20–20%−$28.84
17grok31–233.3%−$45.42
18Team OpenTeam20–20%−$65.24
19baseline62–433.3%−$77.78
20bittensor62–433.3%−$89.14
21gemini51–420.0%−$96.23
22openweight61–516.7%−$120.81
—Team FrontierTeam00–0—No trades yet